Thursday, 21 August 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Dollar drifts as investors ponder Fed independence ahead of Powell speech
Thursday, 21 August 2025 09:26 WIB | US DOLLAR | Indeks DolarDolar AS

The U.S. dollar drifted on Thursday as investors fretted about the Federal Reserve's independence after yet another attack from President Donald Trump ahead of remarks from Chair Jerome Powell later this week that could influence the outlook for rates.

Trump called on Fed Governor Lisa Cook to resign on the basis of allegations made by one of his political allies about mortgages she holds in Michigan and Georgia, intensifying his effort to gain influence over the U.S. central bank.

Cook said she had "no intention of being bullied to step down" from her position at the central bank. Trump has also told aides he is considering trying to fire Cook, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.

"It has the potential to raise questions around the Fed's oversight and regulatory functions but it has little to no near-term monetary policy implications," said Prashant Newnaha, senior Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities.

That explained the relatively muted reaction in the currency markets to the news as the dollar initially dipped on the news but was mostly calm into the Asian session.

The Japanese yen held onto gains made in previous sessions and was little changed at 147.41 per dollar, while the euro was steady at $1.1642. Sterling last fetched $1.34535.

That left the dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six other peers, steady at 98.301.

Trump has repeatedly criticised Powell for being too slow to cut rates, stoking investor worries about the central bank's independence and its credibility.

Investors expect Trump will replace Powell with a more dovish appointment when his term ends in May. Trump earlier this month said he would nominate Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Stephen Miran to serve out the final few months of a vacant Fed seat after Adriana Kugler unexpectedly resigned.

Kristina Clifton, a senior economist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney, said if Cook resigns it would create another opening for Trump to appoint a Fed Governor who will vote to lower interest rates.

POWELL SPEECH

The main focus this week has been on whether Powell will push back against market expectations for a rate cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting when he speaks on Friday at the Jackson Hole meeting, following a weak jobs report for July.

"Markets are adamant that recent labour market data necessitates some policy calibration and are expecting Chair Powell to tip his hat in that direction," TD's Newnaha said.

Traders are pricing in an 82% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut next month, CME FedWatch tool showed. While the odds have lowered from last week after hotter than expected producer price inflation tempered expectations, investors are still pricing in over 50 bps of easing this year.

Some analysts cautioned that markets could end up being disappointed by Powell's speech, noting that the impact of Trump's tariffs on inflation remains uncertain.

"It is not clear that Powell will deliver strong guidance," said Benoit Anne, managing director in the investment solutions group at MFS Investment Management. If the dovish signals elude us, there will be significant pricing out of the odds for a September cut."

In other currencies, the New Zealand dollar was nursing steep overnight losses at $0.58205 after diving 1.2% to its lowest level since April. New Zealand's central bank cut interest rates on Wednesday as expected but left the door wide open to yet more easing if needed.

The Australian dollar eased 0.13% to $0.64245, hovering near a two-week low.

Source: Reuters

RELATED NEWS
Dollar Weakens, European Stocks Open Flat As Markets Prepare For Jackson Hole ...
Thursday, 21 August 2025 15:52 WIB

The U.S. dollar held below its one-week high on Thursday (August 21st), and European stock markets opened flat as investors prepared for three days of potentially market-moving news from the Federal R...

Dollar falls as Trump calls on Fed's Cook to resign...
Thursday, 21 August 2025 03:53 WIB

The dollar fell on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump called on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to resign, but pared gains after minutes from the Fed's latest meeting showed that only two ...

Dollar Weakens After Trump Calls for Fed Chairwoman Cook to Resign ...
Wednesday, 20 August 2025 22:11 WIB

The dollar weakened on Wednesday (August 20th) after US President Donald Trump called for Federal Reserve Chairwoman Lisa Cook to resign. Investors are also awaiting a speech by Fed Chairwoman Jerome ...

Asia FX ticks down ahead of Jackson Hole; kiwi slides after RBNZ rate cut...
Wednesday, 20 August 2025 12:29 WIB

Most Asian currencies edged lower on Wednesday as investors stayed cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium for cues on the U.S. rate path and the timing of a possible September ...

US Dollar Index strengthens above 98.00 ahead of FOMC Minutes...
Wednesday, 20 August 2025 08:50 WIB

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a stronger note around 98.30 during the Asian trading hours on Wedn...

LATEST NEWS
Services Strengthen, Factories Remain Sluggish

Recent data shows the UK economy recorded its fastest growth rate in a year, supported by a solid services sector, although the manufacturing sector is still experiencing contraction. The Flash Services PMI for August 2025 surged to 53.6, well...

Gold Drops, All Eyes on Powell

Gold prices fell to around $3,338 per ounce on Thursday (August 21st). Gold fell slightly as the US dollar strengthened and yields rose, but the decline was contained ahead of the release of US data and Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. A...

Gold Prices Weakened Slightly After Hawkish FOMC Minutes, Focus On Jackson Hole Summit

Gold prices weakened slightly on Thursday (August 21st) after the minutes of the US Federal Reserve's July meeting showed a majority consensus to keep interest rates on hold, as investors awaited the central bank's annual Jackson Hole symposium...

POPULAR NEWS
Fed's Powell may defy rate cut bets at Jackson Hole as inflation fight isn't over
Tuesday, 19 August 2025 04:02 WIB

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak at the annual central bank symposium this week amid growing bets that a rate cut is nearly...

Asia-Pacific markets mostly fall as investors assess outcome of Trump-Zelenskyy meeting
Tuesday, 19 August 2025 07:52 WIB

Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell Tuesday as investors await the outcome of the talks between U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukraine's President...

S&P 500 ends slightly lower ahead of Powell at Jackson Hole
Tuesday, 19 August 2025 03:38 WIB

The S&P 500 ended slightly lower Monday, as investors digested a meeting between Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald...

Trump says he knows exactly what he's doing with Russia-Ukraine conflict
Monday, 18 August 2025 23:18 WIB

U.S. President Donald Trump claimed on Monday that he "knows exactly" what he's doing regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while criticizing those...